yieldflow

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.55K
Potential profit: $24.55K
User PnL: -$24.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.4
Potential payout: $12.79K
Potential profit: $12.79K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $7.41K
Potential profit: $7.41K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $7.25K
Potential profit: $7.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $4.38K
Potential profit: $4.38K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$101.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $990.9
Potential profit: $990.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 1?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $704.34
Potential profit: $697.65
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $689.64
Potential profit: $689.3
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $685.33
Potential profit: $675.39
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$9.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $635.51
Potential profit: $635.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $612.79
Potential profit: $612.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$69.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $595
Potential profit: $591.43
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $534.76
Potential profit: $534.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $363.72
Potential profit: $358.45
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $319.36
Potential profit: $319.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.17
Potential profit: $318.17
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $11.44
Potential payout: $301
Potential profit: $289.56
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$10.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.1

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET