Polymarket Trader

0x8f470ef78F2Bf5976f03Cee2e67F4447E4131BD4-1752589574727

0x8f470ef78f2bf5976f03cee2e67f4447e4131bd4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $214.64
Realized PnL: $6.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $3.53K
User PnL: -$1.36K

No position

Will MrBeast raise 40m on Sunday August 31?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$580.34

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$108

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $214.64
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $812.36
Multiplier: 4.78x
User PnL: -$682.1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $458.26
Potential profit: $458.26
User PnL: -$104.25

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.67
Potential profit: $205.67
User PnL: -$43.19

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.84
Potential profit: $122.84
User PnL: -$118.97

Yes position

Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.6

No position

Will MrBeast raise 40m on Saturday August 30?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.18

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $219.77

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.33

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.44

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.11

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $147.17

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.5

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.21

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.03

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.38

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.81

No position

Israel strikes Syria by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.71

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.6

No position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.68

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.5

No position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.84

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.84

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.26

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 86% 220 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 62% 227 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 94.5% 800 shares
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

No 98.7% 500 shares
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

No 98.5% 2,626 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 99.8% 2,592 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

No 98.5% 132.08 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 97.8% 2,592 shares
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Yes 84% 2,535 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 97.6% 2,182 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 97.8% 364 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 98.1% 710 shares