Polymarket Trader

x - 19900

0x8f51d37dfaf6076384e70cbdebf3d8911d2f787b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.08K
Realized PnL: $5.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $800.52
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $494.21

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $57.43
Potential payout: $171.42
Potential profit: $113.99
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.86

Over position

Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $42.6
Potential payout: $95.74
Potential profit: $53.14
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $43.7
Potential payout: $86.53
Potential profit: $42.83
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $25.67
Potential payout: $67.56
Potential profit: $41.89
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.68

France position

Spread: France (-3.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $52.81
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.31

Under position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $39.7
Potential payout: $59.7
Potential profit: $20
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $29.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $24.14
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $18.96
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $26.99
Potential profit: $26.1
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$15.17

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $9.74
Potential payout: $16.94
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show?

Ends Feb 13, 2022

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.94K

Harris position

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $723.23

No position

Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.33

Yes position

Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania?

Ends May 17, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.29

Yes position

Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season?

Ends Sep 22, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.04

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.8

Yes position

Will Biden say "MAGA" at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.68

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.34

Yes position

Will Biden say "Inflation" at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

No position

Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday?

Ends Jun 26, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.97

Commanders position

Bears vs. Commanders

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106

No position

[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.95

Steelers position

Jets vs. Steelers

Ends Oct 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.5

No position

Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.35

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.92

No position

Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?

Ends Jul 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77

Colts position

Colts vs. Titans

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.28

No position

Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.81

Yes position

Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.24

Lions position

Lions vs. Vikings

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

Bears position

Jaguars vs. Bears

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Over position

Will the Raiders and Steelers combine for 37 or more points?

Ends Oct 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-20?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Pedro Castillo position

Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election?

Ends Jun 6, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5

Under 67% 59.7 shares
Spread: France (-3.5)

France 16% 62.5 shares
Will France win the World Cup?

Yes 37% 67.56 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58% 43.1 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 51.7% 86.53 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score

No 60% 50 shares
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5

Over 46% 95.74 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 34% 171.42 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 59% 16.94 shares
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

No 35.2% 21.93 shares
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Yes 59.5% 26.99 shares
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 10% 58.58 shares