Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0x8F554b6f2f3248835Dac53bF7d422bF2ADa0B310-1730707752137
0x8f554b6f2f3248835dac53bf7d422bf2ada0b310
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $128.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.05
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.35
Yes position
Trump transgender sports ban?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
No position
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Wisconsin be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Tran position
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Trump formally nominate Tulsi Gabbard to the cabinet?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Trump win Alabama by 30+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 0.3% 22.22 shares
- U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?Yes 95.9% 2.09 shares
- SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?Yes 98.2% 2.04 shares
- Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes 95.6% 20.92 shares
- Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes 94% 21.28 shares
- Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 99% 20.2 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 70% 71.43 shares
- Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes 96.1% 20.81 shares
- Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes 93.9% 21.3 shares
- Will Biden finish his term?Yes 99% 20.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 99.1% 20.18 shares
- Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?No 99.1% 20.18 shares