No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $561
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $104
Polymarket Trader
pandaman
0x8f573bc8598492bf916811d7ce4c56ed57f2bf51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.28K
- Realized PnL
- $3.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $462.52
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $103
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $97
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$120
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $82
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$46
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$98
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$78.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.6%
- Current value
- $70.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$22.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.83
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.31
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.03
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.6
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.35
Yes position
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.48
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.85
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.02
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.86
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.93
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.33
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.84
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 31% 9.6 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 51% 100 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 31.8% 100 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 85% 100 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 78% 100 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 84.2% 27.33 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No 93.7% 100 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?No 32.2% 499.99 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes 91% 200 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 60% 100 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 60% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 100 shares