Polymarket Trader

Geraldnbr

0x8f57902bced0e51c4ed7476acd75432fbfc5a9d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.02
Realized PnL: -$0.58
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

PSG position

Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from Europe?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "51st State" this week?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Another India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

No 77% 2.6 shares
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?

No 89% 1.46 shares
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 59% 3.39 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

No 85.8% 1.17 shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Yes 9.9% 10.1 shares
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

No 58% 2.32 shares
US-China trade deal before June?

Yes 88% 4.16 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?

No 91% 1.1 shares
US-China trade deal before June?

Yes 24% 4.17 shares
Will Trump say "51st State" this week?

Yes 50% 4 shares
Will the next Pope be from Europe?

Yes 64% 1.56 shares