Polymarket Trader

DumplingBMF

0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $196.42K
Realized PnL: $243.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.7%
Current value: $16.7K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $83.3K
Multiplier: 5.99x
User PnL: -$33.3K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $83.3K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $16.7K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $33.3K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.04K
Potential profit: $66.04K
User PnL: -$56.08K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $58.68K
Potential payout: $63.79K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.74K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.25K
Potential profit: $63.25K
User PnL: -$39.02K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $13.21K
Potential payout: $41.28K
Potential profit: $28.07K
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$12.64K

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$15.2K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.3K
Potential profit: $15.3K
User PnL: -$12.77K

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $14K
User PnL: -$8.96K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $7.59K
Potential payout: $12.87K
Potential profit: $5.27K
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$1.71K

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82K
Potential profit: $12.82K
User PnL: -$4.37K

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$4.12K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$5.16K

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$2.7K

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$4.47K

Team Falcons position

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$6K

9z position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$3.8K

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$4.45K

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$6.2K

Team Falcons position

Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$3K

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.98K
Potential payout: $9.98K
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: $4.59K

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.06K
Potential profit: $9.06K
User PnL: -$4.26K

No position

Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $6.96K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $6.01K
User PnL: -$3.02K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.03K

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.96K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.57K

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.66K

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82K

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86K

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11K

Alexander Volkov position

UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81K

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.47K

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22K

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2K

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8K

MIBR position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65K

Heroic position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57K

9z position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38K

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31K

FOKUS position

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.12K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 25.7% 1,011.47 shares
Will Aurora reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 76% 236.2 shares
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 66% 1,947.01 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner

G2 36% 3,669.83 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

FUT Esports 44% 2,230.41 shares
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

Yes 67% 999.99 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 53% 999.99 shares
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 8.8% 10,000 shares
Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

No 95% 219.17 shares
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 3% 3,231.97 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Aurora Gaming 55% 2,969.16 shares
Will MOUZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

No 97.1% 1,020.29 shares