Polymarket Trader

0x8F6e28AA2a490aCbe49E90a949CBF1869f324af9-1769559498153

0x8f6e28aa2a490acbe49e90a949cbf1869f324af9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.47
Realized PnL: $59.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $24.47
Potential payout: $134.83
Potential profit: $110.36
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $12.47

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.05
Potential profit: $36.05
User PnL: -$31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.83

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 36.05 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 99.8% 31.31 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74.7% 31.32 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

United States 84% 23.6 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 19.48 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 64% 15.53 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 99.9% 9.72 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 72% 9.72 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 53.84 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 53.85 shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 50 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.9% 134.83 shares