Polymarket Trader

birubi

0x8f71729e3dfc0481485841dda2da4161ebd24e83

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.17
Realized PnL: $7.01K
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.56K
Potential profit: $6.56K
User PnL: -$1.69K

No position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.45K
User PnL: -$356

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.59K
User PnL: -$890.66

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$322.15

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$425.92

No position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820
Potential profit: $820
User PnL: -$123

Yes position

Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137
Potential profit: $137
User PnL: -$32.43

No position

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 67.7%
Current value: $23.68
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $11.32
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $13.88

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $12.49
Potential payout: $12.77
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09K

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764.14

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.54

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $77

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.62

Yes position

Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.82

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.31

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.86

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.72

Yes position

Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.08

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Samuel Forstag be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?

Yes 95% 19 shares
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?

Yes 98% 83 shares
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 72.9% 82 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 63.22 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 88% 1,572.55 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 89% 531 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 89% 246 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 88.9% 521.45 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

No 99.1% 2,088.92 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 93% 95 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

No 73% 175 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

No 98.5% 1,021.75 shares