No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x8F8c3357De7534E8936eB99Baa65407ea3fe4268-1761848731297
0x8f8c3357de7534e8936eb99baa65407ea3fe4268
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.05
- Realized PnL
- $54.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.77
- Potential profit
- $263.77
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $5.74
- Potential payout
- $141.67
- Potential profit
- $135.93
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.5
- Potential profit
- $137.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.68
- Potential profit
- $90.68
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $68.64
- Potential profit
- $68.58
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $40.86
- Potential profit
- $40.22
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $40 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.37
- Potential profit
- $25.37
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.62
- Potential profit
- $24.62
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.45
- Potential profit
- $24.45
- User PnL
- -$13.4
No position
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.16
- Potential profit
- $19.16
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.35
- Potential profit
- $17.35
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Evacuation of Tehran ordered in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Iron Lung position
Will Send Help or Iron Lung gross more on their opening weekend?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.5
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.44
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in October 2025 (LS)?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes 3.5% 28.95 shares
- Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 2.1% 21.47 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 0.4% 263.77 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 73% 1.37 shares
- Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes 36% 5.56 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No 67% 1.49 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes 3.3% 30.21 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?No 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 14% 9.3 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?No 35.8% 8.38 shares
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No 1% 28.36 shares
- Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?No 31.4% 3.18 shares