Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.1%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $5.55K
- Potential profit
- $4.27K
- Multiplier
- 4.34x
- User PnL
- $69.38
Polymarket Trader
bf36
0x8f91a94d8cb7b2e8de0a857e627119eee43bcc3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.58K
- Realized PnL
- $189.38
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $267
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.8
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $33.42
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.6
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.8% 5,550 shares
- Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 37% 8,653 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No 69% 60 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?Yes 56% 164.03 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 300 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?Yes 92% 164.03 shares
- Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 17% 300 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 25% 371.31 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.2% 500 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 3% 300 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.1% 460.64 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 18% 300 shares