Polymarket Trader

10to5

0x8f972c856150529615ce9e9e6371b0977ffbef9e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.85
Realized PnL: $114.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.47
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $19.46
Potential profit: $16.83
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10.59
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.82

No position

Bitcoin above 77,600 on May 21, 6AM ET?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $8.03
Potential profit: $5.82
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $7.23
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.48
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.59
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.41

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $2.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.17

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 19.2% 5.52 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?

Up 47% 2.38 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?

Up 42% 2.38 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Yes 18.1% 5.52 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 6% 14.28 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 7% 14.29 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 71.97 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 1.7% 9.01 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 45% 2.22 shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

No 98.8% 1.19 shares
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

Yes 75% 1.85 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026?

Yes 1% 5 shares