Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.38
- Potential profit
- $225.38
- User PnL
- -$55
Polymarket Trader
MAYBE
0x8f97330fe6c0d15d962d82caf250ac3d9bf396bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.88
- Realized PnL
- -$37.73
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.74
- Potential profit
- $159.74
- User PnL
- -$21.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $90.88
- Potential payout
- $106.29
- Potential profit
- $15.41
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Yes position
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10 ET?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in October 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.38
Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $6.66
Yes position
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.79
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 106.29 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?Down 15% 86.72 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?Down 11% 73.02 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 64.5% 35 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 56.7% 73.46 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 74% 56.3 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 60.5% 57.12 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 57.2% 60.44 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 65.2% 60.45 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 99.5% 39.62 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 63.2% 39.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Yes 25% 40 shares