El-Coronel

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.56

Yes position

Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.56

Yes position

Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.56

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.56

Yes position

Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $924.99
Potential profit: $924.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.37

Yes position

Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $799.96
Potential profit: $793.96
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $799.96
Potential profit: $793.96
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $774.99
Potential profit: $774.6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.36

Yes position

Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $699.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.63

Yes position

Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $633.21
Potential profit: $632.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.83

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $609
Potential profit: $608.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.18

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $598.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.66

Yes position

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.86

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $589.5
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $599.1
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $597.9
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $599.97
Potential profit: $595.47
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $599.95
Potential profit: $598.45
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $599.95
Potential profit: $598.45
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $599.95
Potential profit: $596.65
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.5

Yes position

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $599.95
Potential profit: $596.95
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $599.95
Potential profit: $598.15
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $353.88

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $291.75

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $267.17

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.26

No position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $210.66

Yes position

Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $203.59

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $202.14

Yes position

Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $199.32

Yes position

Will another person be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.05

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.05

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $185.93

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $185.35

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $166.12

Yes position

Will Binance be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.44

Yes position

Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.08

Yes position

Will another company be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.97

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 24.6%
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: $100.64

Yes position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.82

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $94.24

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.4

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 33%
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $81.33

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $79.76

Yes position

Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?