No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $28.06K
- Potential profit
- $28.05K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$64.24
Polymarket Trader
John.Gault
0x8fa09944c991735a0b170749219efedca35f72d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.84K
- Realized PnL
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $4.22K
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $830.17
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $393.99
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.55K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $366
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $87.13
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $177.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $171.4
- Potential payout
- $183.12
- Potential profit
- $11.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $94.8
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $112.2
- Potential payout
- $132.08
- Potential profit
- $19.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $27.67
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $98.05
- Potential payout
- $112.7
- Potential profit
- $14.65
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $29.3
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $89
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $96.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $91.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.15
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$58.15
No position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $876.14
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.27
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.96
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.8
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.96
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.75
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.83
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 28,000 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 26.5% 500 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 27.9% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?No 70% 7.47 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 39% 42 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 66% 80 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 75% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 91% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?No 93.6% 501.39 shares
- Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?No 99.7% 501.39 shares
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?No 69.7% 400 shares