Polymarket Trader

0x8fAE33f5822F3e5E472d4796A55D5110241B2f76-1783602509904

0x8fae33f5822f3e5e472d4796a55d5110241b2f76

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $190.64
Realized PnL: $9.47
Win rate: 92.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 68.9%
Current value: $30.98
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $14.02
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Big Brother E2?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $16.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $4.58
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $14.8
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.18
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will anyone say "Villain" during Big Brother E2?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.8
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $7.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.35
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 66.8%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 73.1%
Current value: $3.66
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 12, 2PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 12, 8AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 12, 8AM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 69% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 69% 5 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 13?

Yes 86% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 69% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 69% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?

Yes 89% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 69% 5 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?

No 73.2% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 69% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 69% 5 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 16?

Yes 86% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 68.7% 5 shares