No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1
Polymarket Trader
ThaddeusKnox
0x8fb2de205d0d0919cd73895e5ef062a4e9b5269e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $198.3
- Realized PnL
- $8.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $13.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $186.7
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$8.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?Yes 99.5% 2.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?Yes 99.9% 2.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?Yes 99.8% 3.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 7?No 99.7% 3.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 7?Yes 99.7% 2.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 7?No 99.9% 3.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?No 99.9% 2.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 6?Yes 99.8% 2.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 5?Yes 99.2% 2.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?Yes 98.6% 3.45 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 4?No 99.9% 2.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?Yes 99.5% 2.41 shares