No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
bugs1
0x8fb51e2f2653da157aee2a2c2e90233ab419d37c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $265.8
- Realized PnL
- $2.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445
- Potential profit
- $445
- User PnL
- -$15.49
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408.95
- Potential profit
- $408.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $375
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $371.23
- Potential profit
- $371.23
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $18.72
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $331.28
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$26.78
Yes position
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $308.75
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $6.36
- Potential payout
- $250.36
- Potential profit
- $244
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $203.44
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$11.4
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$34
No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $79.81
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$20.19
No position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $153.98
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.38
- Potential profit
- $143.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
No position
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.56
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.98
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.1
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.43
Yes position
Will PNC Financial Services (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Marriott Total Rooms above 1.80 million in Q1?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
No position
Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.99
No position
Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.45
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.74
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.99
Yes position
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $59.21
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.97
No position
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp 31% 16.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown 43% 11.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 6% 29.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETUp 34% 29.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETUp 72% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp 70.7% 14.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp 43% 23.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETUp 25% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETDown 31% 6.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp 37.4% 26.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETUp 11% 27.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp 38% 5.26 shares