Polymarket Trader

kilopie

0x8fc474b787123f458c13a7a94514b03995e28e00

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $222.02
Realized PnL: $589.12
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $251.88
Potential profit: $250.12
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.24

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $156.35
Potential profit: $152.21
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.54
Potential profit: $137.54
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $49.65
Potential payout: $116.83
Potential profit: $67.18
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.56
Potential profit: $112.56
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $48.97
Potential payout: $79.62
Potential profit: $30.65
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.29
Potential profit: $77.29
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $11.64
Potential payout: $58.21
Potential profit: $46.57
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $1.64

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $29.71
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $27.98
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $40.28
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $15.28
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $38.86
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$23.41

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $44.78
Potential profit: $38.84
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$9.07

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 15.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $40.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $34.88
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $19.85
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $27.93
Potential profit: $26.94
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

Yes position

UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.51

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.92

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.11

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.69

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.28

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.05

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.77

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.87

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Over position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 17.2% 58.21 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 52% 57.69 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 27.78 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

30.9% 94.23 shares
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

19.4% 100.05 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 99.9% 90 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 55.8% 8 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 87% 40 shares