Polymarket Trader

BlazeBlaze

@Arnaud8525

0x8fc564c6b826bf25fb8fe4d030ec1bf30df04bdc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$24.4
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Paris FC 0 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.18
Potential profit: $9.18
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $0.89

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Magic

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

Nets position

Nets vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Magic position

Wizards vs. Magic

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.7%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6% 3,917.14 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 23.7% 98.77 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 22.8% 98.77 shares
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7% 3,917.14 shares
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Yes 83% 20 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Yes 53% 20 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

Yes 39.7% 49.99 shares
Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Yes 34% 2.94 shares
Exact Score: Paris FC 0 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

Yes 10.9% 9.18 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.1% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 20.6% 49.99 shares