Polymarket Trader

cryptoadviser

0x8fcc2ef622ef1258f7732eeb8697cc3c71d78ef0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.17K
Realized PnL: $3.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $197.36
Potential payout: $887
Potential profit: $689.64
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: -$460.8

Yes position

Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $650M and $700M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785
Potential profit: $785
User PnL: -$109.9

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $405.45
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $124.55
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $71.55

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502
Potential profit: $502
User PnL: -$210.84

Modena FC 2018 position

Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $485
Potential payout: $485
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $53.35

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317
Potential profit: $317
User PnL: -$47.55

BC Dubai position

Partizan vs. BC Dubai

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $132
User PnL: -$110.88

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $80.5
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $14.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$13.5

No position

Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$2.76

No position

Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$7.92

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $833.7

No position

Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595.31

Morgan State Bears position

Morgan State Bears vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.98

Yes position

Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.6

No position

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.25

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.4%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $134.13

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.24

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.7

No position

Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be between $600M and $650M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.24

No position

Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.4

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $92.96

No position

Will Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.28

Yes position

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 49.9%
Multiplier: 2.01x
User PnL: $87.65

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.32

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.4

Yes position

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.14

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.98

No position

Will MrBeast say "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.32

Yes position

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $33.08

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.72

Yes position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.08

No position

Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.31

No position

Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nine Wars" or "Ninth War" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 63% 530 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?

No 58% 607 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?

No 58% 436 shares
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Yes 24% 145 shares
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-07?

No 66% 35 shares
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 57% 109 shares
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Yes 24% 15 shares
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-03-07?

No 67% 35 shares
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 1,043 shares
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

No 57% 276 shares
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

No 57% 200 shares
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?

No 88% 548 shares