No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.3%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Polymarket Trader
nils720fernando
0x8fd1615f52f42126aaf07969ebdc1a87c910a3fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.31
- Realized PnL
- $10.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.05x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.5% 38 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.5% 38 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.1% 41 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.1% 45 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.5% 41 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.6% 41 shares
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 1.5% 4 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 1.5% 47 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96% 29.43 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95.4% 42 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95.2% 42 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 82 shares