tuyppp

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$121.8

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $114.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $10.63
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $12.88

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $102.59
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $21.4

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $14.13
Potential payout: $113.03
Potential profit: $98.9
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$18.65

Yes position

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $10.89
Potential payout: $65.04
Potential profit: $54.15
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$56.1

No position

Will Google reach $315 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$51.78

No position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$52.6

No position

Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$55.01

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $55.74
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $3.78
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $51.95
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $41.42
Potential payout: $53.82
Potential profit: $12.41
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$8.58

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$9.5

No position

Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$42.65

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$34.75

No position

Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$40.5

Yes position

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.27
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$45.27

No position

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $38.04
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $6.84
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $33.16
Multiplier: 5.85x
User PnL: -$30.36

Yes position

Will Dell say "Windows 10" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 410 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.6

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara and José Antonio Kast advance to the runoff?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.69

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.85

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Yes position

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.83

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.24

No position

Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.68

Yes position

Will Korn Ferry (KFY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

No position

Cardano ETF in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.13

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?