Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $138.62
- Potential payout
- $30.8K
- Potential profit
- $30.67K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
Polymarket Trader
amused85
0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.13K
- Realized PnL
- $354.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Megaquake by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.43K
- Potential profit
- $19.43K
- User PnL
- -$3.59K
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $166.34
- Potential payout
- $15.84K
- Potential profit
- $15.68K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.69K
- Potential profit
- $14.69K
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $123.05
- Potential payout
- $14.48K
- Potential profit
- $14.35K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.8K
Yes position
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.06K
- Potential profit
- $13.06K
- User PnL
- -$107.21
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $108.93
- Potential payout
- $12.82K
- Potential profit
- $12.71K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.26K
- Potential profit
- $12.26K
- User PnL
- -$3.66K
Yes position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $82.74
- Potential payout
- $11.82K
- Potential profit
- $11.74K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$751.59
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $242.25
- Potential payout
- $11.82K
- Potential profit
- $11.58K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.16K
Yes position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $876.75
- Potential payout
- $11.69K
- Potential profit
- $10.81K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$772.49
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.69K
- Potential profit
- $11.69K
- User PnL
- -$3.82K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.41K
- Potential profit
- $11.41K
- User PnL
- -$3.02K
Yes position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $225.89
- Potential payout
- $10.56K
- Potential profit
- $10.33K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.55K
- Potential profit
- $10.55K
- User PnL
- -$1.79K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $10.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.75K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.47K
- Potential profit
- $10.47K
- User PnL
- -$3.61K
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.6K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.92K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- User PnL
- -$2.68K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.65K
- Potential profit
- $9.65K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $13.64
- Potential payout
- $9.09K
- Potential profit
- $9.08K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$987.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.91K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $57.47
- Potential payout
- $8.84K
- Potential profit
- $8.78K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$920.68
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.73K
- Potential profit
- $8.73K
- User PnL
- -$2.14K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- User PnL
- -$155.11
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.39K
- Potential profit
- $8.39K
- User PnL
- -$2.35K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.25K
- Potential profit
- $8.25K
- User PnL
- -$3.48K
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.09K
- Potential profit
- $8.09K
- User PnL
- -$242.55
Yes position
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Yes position
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $385.84
- Potential payout
- $7.96K
- Potential profit
- $7.57K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$3.34K
Yes position
Will CD Mirandés vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.67K
- Potential profit
- $7.67K
- User PnL
- -$2.45K
Yes position
Will US Avellino 1912 vs. FC Südtirol end in a draw?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.52K
- Potential profit
- $7.52K
- User PnL
- -$2.55K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.51K
- Potential profit
- $7.51K
- User PnL
- -$2.91K
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$202.5
Yes position
Will Carrarese Calcio vs. UC Sampdoria end in a draw?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.55K
Yes position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Megaquake by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$450
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.43K
- Potential profit
- $7.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.95K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $7.38K
- User PnL
- -$2.38K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $43.97
- Potential payout
- $7.33K
- Potential profit
- $7.28K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.19K
- Potential profit
- $7.19K
- User PnL
- -$1.64K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $7.15K
- User PnL
- -$1.03K
Yes position
Will PEC Zwolle vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14K
- Potential profit
- $7.14K
- User PnL
- -$1.97K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.99K
- Potential profit
- $6.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.79K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $10.29
- Potential payout
- $6.86K
- Potential profit
- $6.85K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$305.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $159.87
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $6.64K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$40.12
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.75K
- Potential profit
- $6.75K
- User PnL
- -$2.64K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.62K
- Potential profit
- $6.62K
- User PnL
- -$2.19K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.42K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16K
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.62K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on August 30 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.59K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.49K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $112K on August 28 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 14?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33K
Yes position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.98K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4500 and $4600 on August 27 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on September 12 at 12AM ET?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 30 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 12?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 6?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
Raptors position
Celtics vs. Raptors
Ends Jan 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35K
Yes position
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22K
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18K
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Falcons
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4300 on August 21 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96K
Kings position
Kings vs. Celtics
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92K
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4400 and $4500 on August 17 at 5PM ET?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88K
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71K
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 18?No 10% 2,000 shares
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao 52% 480.77 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?No 12% 800 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 88% 1,000 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 1,000 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 57% 1,000 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 49% 1,000 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 89% 1,000 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes 57% 1,000 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No 39% 800 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 48% 400 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 64% 400 shares