Polymarket Trader

0x8FEDF778b1048a720Db9aBB92d9B1f57DfF82413-1781112528012

0x8fedf778b1048a720db9abb92d9b1f57dff82413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $264.64
Realized PnL: $17.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $189.74
Potential payout: $289.68
Potential profit: $99.94
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $39.74

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $16.39
Potential payout: $40.98
Potential profit: $24.59
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$8.61

No position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $27.45
Potential payout: $30.86
Potential profit: $3.41
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $29.75
Potential profit: $27.63
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$22.88

Yes position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $28.93
Potential payout: $29.1
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $3.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $7.04
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $6.58
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

No 65% 38.46 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 45% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Up 76% 6.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Down 71% 7.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Down 76% 6.58 shares
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Yes 85.9% 29.1 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 84% 29.75 shares
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes 61% 40.98 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

No 81% 30.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 87% 28.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 79% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Up 65% 7.69 shares