Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.81K
- Potential profit
- $6.81K
- User PnL
- -$19
Polymarket Trader
cutecatcreature
0x8ff11bbfdf777b2afc1692c455d5e2b8f0f14d1f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $60.07
- Realized PnL
- $1.07K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $714.29
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $597.38
- Potential profit
- $597.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $508.53
- Potential profit
- $508.53
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $506.08
- Potential profit
- $506.08
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $319.15
- Potential profit
- $319.15
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $313.38
- Potential profit
- $313.38
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.74
- Potential profit
- $271.74
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.34
- Potential profit
- $208.34
- User PnL
- -$18.75
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $168.92
- Potential profit
- $168.92
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.86
- Potential profit
- $117.86
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $113.78
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$6.73
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $92.59
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $86.96
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $77.12
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$6.72
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $29.61
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $47.31
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.5
- Potential profit
- $72.5
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.29
- Potential profit
- $52.29
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $51.72
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.75
- Potential profit
- $43.75
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $24.36
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $17.64
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $4.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.19
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.33
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.36
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.26
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.97
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.06
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.06
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.39
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.76
Yes position
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Iran strike on Israel before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Trump signs national abortion ban?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Tadej Pogačar finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Saeed Jalili be the next President of Iran?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Supreme Court unanimous vote in Trump immunity case?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Yes 24% 40 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 80 shares
- Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes 8.5% 117 shares
- Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 39% 25 shares
- Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes 22.3% 42 shares
- Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?Yes 40% 5.26 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No 44% 60 shares
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?Yes 60% 33.33 shares
- Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?No 45.7% 43.75 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 11% 411.89 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No 15.8% 253.75 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 14.6% 411.89 shares