No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.15K
- Potential profit
- $16.15K
- User PnL
- -$8.42K
Polymarket Trader
carbonbasedlifeform
0x9001a8cedc18811ec49567912ef9b333a4ecd9be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $242.94
- Realized PnL
- $13.41K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $242.94
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$360.21
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750.45
- Potential profit
- $750.45
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $618.67
- Potential profit
- $618.67
- User PnL
- -$18.53
de Ridder position
Allen vs. de Ridder
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.51
- Potential profit
- $298.51
- User PnL
- -$200
Vera position
Vera vs. Zahabi
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $212.77
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.19
- Potential profit
- $179.19
- User PnL
- -$50.11
Yes position
OpenSea airdrop before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.63
- Potential profit
- $167.63
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.95K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.72
Yes position
Will the match be a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $521.43
Spain position
Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.56
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.12
Yes position
Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.06
Spain position
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.32
Spain position
Euro Finals: Spain vs. England
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.56
France position
Portugal vs. France - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.33
Yes position
Will Turkey win?
Ends Jun 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Portugal win?
Ends Jun 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.59
Yes position
Will the Netherlands win?
Ends Jul 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.25
Netherlands position
Netherlands vs. Turkey - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the match be a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the match be a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$146.85
Yes position
Will Spain win?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Italy win?
Ends Jun 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Netherlands win?
Ends Jul 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will Serbia win?
Ends Jun 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Netherlands position
Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 53.9% 11,916.05 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 36% 1,675.42 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 16% 3,769.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 19.9% 3,769.68 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 48.3% 2,070.38 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 37.6% 2,657.36 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 46.3% 2,159.44 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 28% 179.19 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.8% 10,562.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 38.3% 10 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes 39.5% 4,299.92 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes 4.5% 2,239.43 shares