Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $18.6K
- Potential payout
- $292.89K
- Potential profit
- $274.29K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$16.83K
Polymarket Trader
caspersmc
0x90264311ebebc6d447a885c560787af108cad7e4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.16K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.56K
- Potential payout
- $74.14K
- Potential profit
- $68.58K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.1K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 30% 26 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 39% 5.84 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 38% 142.69 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 34% 29.41 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 32% 312.5 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 31% 100 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 30% 1,579 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 28% 134.99 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 27% 200 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 25% 15 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 23% 400 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 22% 5,483.5 shares