No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $5.43K
- Potential payout
- $5.75K
- Potential profit
- $319.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Polymarket Trader
doyouwanttogotothemoon
0x90323218cd86b964feb4ee2317422a2a5286b5c3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.64K
- Realized PnL
- $3.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $319.13
- Potential payout
- $5.75K
- Potential profit
- $5.43K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.56K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $390.62
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $334.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $871.5
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $310.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $794.8
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- User PnL
- $94.8
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $261
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $339
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $232.51
- Potential payout
- $500.02
- Potential profit
- $267.51
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $227.49
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $272.49
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $34
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $390.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $9.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $26.6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $310.71
- Potential payout
- $315.76
- Potential profit
- $5.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $124.22
N
No position
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $277.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $298.64
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.55
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $97.71
- Potential payout
- $291.67
- Potential profit
- $193.96
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $182.5
- Potential payout
- $262.63
- Potential profit
- $80.13
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $15.92
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $120
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $130
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $218.54
- Potential payout
- $219.64
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- $56.01
Y
Yes position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $7.3
- Potential payout
- $101.37
- Potential profit
- $94.07
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.29
- Potential profit
- $38.29
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$13.8
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $26.73
- Potential profit
- $16.31
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$11.49
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $17.82
- Potential payout
- $25.1
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $7.36
No position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $23.03
- Potential profit
- $11.52
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $913.46
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $634.42
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $482
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.21
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $129.67
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.11
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.81x
- User PnL
- $103.88
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.4
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.48
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.1
No position
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.06
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $43.24
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $42.03
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.82
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $29
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.7
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.87
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 30.3% 1,201.54 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 26.8% 284.51 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 62.7% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 62.6% 20 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 35% 44.08 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 57.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 56.8% 21.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 57.1% 16.7 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 55.7% 7.59 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 56% 828.92 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 51% 12.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 39% 332.98 shares