Polymarket Trader

liuliu66

0x90379e4f55e4b7be5ce8b3c859c68101ce66e1e9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.75
Realized PnL: $4.94
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.37
Potential profit: $4.37
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $4.23
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Islanders

Ends Apr 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Rockets position

Mavericks vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will a Republican win West Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Trump launch a blockchain before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 5?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

No 86% 2.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Yes 22% 4.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Yes 36% 2.69 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 82% 6.1 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.3% 86.96 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Yes 2.6% 192.31 shares
US-China trade deal before June?

Yes 55% 3.64 shares
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Yes 89% 1.12 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 21% 9.52 shares
Canucks vs. Islanders

Canucks 47% 2.13 shares
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?

Yes 99.2% 5.04 shares