Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $31.94
- Potential payout
- $35.29
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.94
Polymarket Trader
popo998
@FIvaraoa
0x9042a6f5494bff6e7df22cb52959243911a6fc93
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.94
- Realized PnL
- $16.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 12?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.52
- Potential profit
- $25.52
- User PnL
- -$25.14
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 16?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 35.29 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.6% 17.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 95% 21.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 98.1% 30.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No 99.8% 14.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 96% 20.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 99.5% 10.72 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?No 99.8% 25.04 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?No 99.8% 35.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 99.9% 15.47 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?Yes 99.3% 20.14 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 16?Yes 99.9% 15.25 shares