Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x905485caAD15042ac501C609049C35B5067E7ca7-1772628740583
0x905485caad15042ac501c609049c35b5067e7ca7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.29
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.72
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- -$1
Lerone Murphy position
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 93% 8.06 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 62% 8.06 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 8.77 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)Lerone Murphy 78% 1.28 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 57% 8.77 shares
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Yes 19% 12.76 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 99.9% 1.94 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 82% 1.26 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 79% 1.27 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 166.66 shares
- Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 51.5% 1.94 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 98.1% 3.12 shares