Polymarket Trader

EMOSCapital

0x905d32541ded93ae87018e0dab5f4904cbe87981

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.22
Realized PnL: -$1.07
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 27.9%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $21.63
Potential profit: $15.61
Multiplier: 3.59x
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $18.21
Potential profit: $16.66
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $17.9
Potential profit: $17.6
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $15.57
Potential profit: $14.48
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $12.81
Potential payout: $15.34
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $9.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $15.26
Potential profit: $11.52
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $14.28
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $13.37
Potential profit: $12.03
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $12.42
Potential profit: $10.43
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $12.08
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $11.91
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $11.61
Potential profit: $10.86
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $11.43
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $11.25
Potential profit: $9.84
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $4.31
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $8.96
Potential profit: $4.26
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $6.47
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $8.8
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $8.35
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $7.78
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $7.73
Potential profit: $5.53
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $7.49
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $7.38
Potential profit: $5.61
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$1.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 1?

Yes 25% 6.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on July 2?

Yes 28% 7.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?

Yes 31% 6.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Yes 7% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 1?

Yes 8.2% 15.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?

Yes 15.6% 11.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 1?

Yes 21% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 1?

Yes 23% 12.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 1?

Yes 7% 10.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?

Yes 30% 6.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 2?

Yes 39% 6.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?

Yes 38% 5.88 shares