Polymarket Trader

Galenvs

0x90655347f0527072a6b8b342ce4202d084cff13a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.19K
Realized PnL: $729.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $530.69
Potential payout: $752.75
Potential profit: $222.06
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $30.66

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $192.01
Potential payout: $586.3
Potential profit: $394.28
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $80.53

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $292.07
Potential payout: $507.96
Potential profit: $215.88
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $66.48

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $428.86
Potential payout: $490.4
Potential profit: $61.55
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $110.07
Potential payout: $469.37
Potential profit: $359.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.75
Potential profit: $454.75
User PnL: -$25.86

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $84.79
Potential payout: $454.66
Potential profit: $369.87
Multiplier: 5.36x
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $46.7
Potential payout: $453.41
Potential profit: $406.71
Multiplier: 9.71x
User PnL: -$18.33

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $41.79
Potential payout: $446.91
Potential profit: $405.12
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$10.41

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $353.56
Potential profit: $353.56
User PnL: -$16.53

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $319.97
Potential profit: $299.97
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$7.87

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $161.72
Potential payout: $236.09
Potential profit: $74.37
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$35.77

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $102.3
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $12.64
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $22.83
Potential payout: $105.93
Potential profit: $83.1
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: -$5.17

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$91

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$66.1

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $48.82
Potential payout: $76.88
Potential profit: $28.06
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $9.22

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $42.7
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $56.01
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.63
Potential profit: $24.63
User PnL: -$20

Frances Tiafoe position

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.6

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.4

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.66

No position

50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.99

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.78

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.39

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Ben Shelton position

BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.96

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.58

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.55

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.23

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.75

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.13

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.63

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.18

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 67% 16.42 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 92% 10.87 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

United States 83% 12.05 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?

Yes 26.4% 105.93 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 23.5% 42.55 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 22.7% 88.11 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.9% 47.85 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.5% 42.55 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 34.48 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.5% 35.29 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 49.02 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 49.02 shares