No position
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $2.98
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.43
Polymarket Trader
RosaWater
0x9079603806c1a097516dfacfdc9ba1051ec9e5aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.76
- Realized PnL
- $549.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $2.37
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.32
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- User PnL
- -$1.79
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.26
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $2.12
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.7%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $1.78
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Nuggets position
Thunder vs. Nuggets
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $325.13
No position
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.99
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Cubs position
Rays vs. Cubs
Ends Sep 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Jets position
Jets vs. Devils
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Royal Challengers Bangalore position
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Red Wings position
Sabres vs. Red Wings
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline?
Ends Jul 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Giants position
Giants vs. Rockies
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on September 17?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Celtics position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on September 7?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Hurricanes position
Rangers vs. Hurricanes
Ends Apr 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Devils
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No 88.6% 1.78 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No 79% 2.32 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 92% 2.14 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 84% 2.1 shares
- Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Perez/Schuurs vs Danilina/KrunicDanilina/Krunic 91% 1.97 shares
- Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.6B?Yes 99% 1.81 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 42.2% 1.97 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?No 84% 2.12 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 2.35 shares
- Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes 93.6% 1.91 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 88% 1.98 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 22?Up 81% 2.12 shares