Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.67
- Potential payout
- $667.7
- Potential profit
- $665.03
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.42
Polymarket Trader
0x9091...8191
0x9091f5304720c8e043fb61c6f4483cbbb0fb8191
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $52.44
- Realized PnL
- -$171.41
- Win rate
- 22.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $11.88
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $113.13
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.13
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $7.13
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $67.88
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.38
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $54.05
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30.77
- Potential payout
- $30.77
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.92
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.64
Yes position
Will Trump post "AG" or "Attorney General" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Yes position
Will Trump post "Hoax" or "Scam" on Truth Social this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.13
Yes position
Will Trump post "I love King" or "I love the King" on Truth Social this week?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.51
Yes position
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Warriors position
Cavaliers vs. Warriors
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.04
Tails position
Big Game: Coin Toss
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Celtics position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 65% 30.77 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 37% 54.05 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.6% 511.45 shares
- 76ers vs. CelticsCeltics 62% 32.26 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 35% 57.14 shares
- Will Trump post "I love King" or "I love the King" on Truth Social this week?Yes 35.5% 13.99 shares
- Will Trump post "Hoax" or "Scam" on Truth Social this week?Yes 62.8% 21.67 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 156.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?Yes 0.5% 1,031.83 shares
- Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)Yes 51.1% 47.97 shares
- Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (April 20 - 26)Yes 52% 18.86 shares
- Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week on Truth Social?Yes 9% 20.57 shares