Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$16.02
Polymarket Trader
happyjoyjoy
0x909d886e89bb1ae7e5244f59bff791dbe32541f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $330.78
- Realized PnL
- $1.83K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $206
- Potential payout
- $206
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $39.15
Yes position
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206
- Potential profit
- $206
- User PnL
- -$37.63
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$38.78
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13.1
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $81.91
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $24.78
- Potential payout
- $79.92
- Potential profit
- $55.14
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $2.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.76
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.6
No position
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.23
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.96
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.01
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $110.52
No position
Ethereum above $2,700 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.6
No position
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.3
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.55
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes 18.3% 206 shares
- Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 81% 206 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?Yes 13% 100 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No 38.8% 100 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?Yes 13.1% 100 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes 18.1% 100 shares
- Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Yes 28.7% 72.2 shares
- Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Yes 26% 7.72 shares
- Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?Yes 90% 300 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Yes 5.3% 300 shares
- Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No 94.6% 310.91 shares