No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.71
- Potential profit
- $335.71
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
0x90A8d5F423e515C1e9b34B18DBa94bfb44Cced23-1774006618008
0x90a8d5f423e515c1e9b34b18dba94bfb44cced23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.6
- Realized PnL
- $132.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.37
- Potential profit
- $243.37
- User PnL
- -$22
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $59.37
- Potential payout
- $72.86
- Potential profit
- $13.49
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $28.6
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $46.67
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $35.43
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$11.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $12.35
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $11.73
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $8.75
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.48
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 80% 8.75 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 90% 55.56 shares
- Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 73.2% 58.72 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by June 30?No 85.2% 11.73 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 91% 10.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 1.5% 333.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 3.3% 60.57 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayDown 10% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 6% 166.67 shares
- Will Lady Gaga attend UFC Freedom 250?No 93.4% 1.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 2.38 shares