Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $231.11
- Potential profit
- $230.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$19.99
Polymarket Trader
0x90c0...937a
0x90c0b2bdae2b287cacd44fe1172e0186f6ba937a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $50.11
- Realized PnL
- $87.73
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $166.66
- Potential profit
- $162.24
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.63
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
N
No position
New Zealand leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.55
- Potential profit
- $55.55
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $30.23
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $25.79
- Multiplier
- 8.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $21.73
- Potential profit
- $17.54
- Multiplier
- 5.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $17.85
- Potential profit
- $14.37
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.66
- Potential profit
- $16.66
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Iraq position
Spread: France (-2.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.7
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- User PnL
- -$4.85
FK Bodø/Glimt position
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Los Angeles Angels position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.19
- Potential profit
- $12.19
- User PnL
- -$4.88
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.19
- Potential profit
- $8.19
- User PnL
- -$4.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yulia Starodubtseva position
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $7.93
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Under position
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$4.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $7.58
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.66
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.41
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
Portugal position
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Over position
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Hurricanes position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Andrey Rublev position
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Under position
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?No 53% 9.25 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?No 72% 6.84 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 78% 6.32 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Portugal 45% 10.86 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Yes 15.6% 31.25 shares
- Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?No 72% 6.84 shares
- Spread: France (-2.5)Iraq 33% 14.7 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?No 56% 8.77 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.5% 29.41 shares
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Under 64% 7.69 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down on June 22?Up 81% 6.09 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 56% 8.77 shares