Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.93K
- Potential profit
- $44.93K
- User PnL
- -$2.39K
Polymarket Trader
PMPD
0x90c156ab99cd5bf2e55e9eb6a36706bda565f6be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.24
- Realized PnL
- $13.81K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34K
- Potential profit
- $34K
- User PnL
- -$7K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.17K
- Potential profit
- $28.17K
- User PnL
- -$450.77
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.99K
- Potential profit
- $18.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.22K
- Potential profit
- $18.22K
- User PnL
- -$499.99
Yes position
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $112.24
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$27.75
Yes position
Ukraine election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$114.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$300
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6AM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$45.55
Up position
Solana Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$37
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $766.67
- Potential profit
- $766.67
- User PnL
- -$21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $724.77
- Potential profit
- $724.77
- User PnL
- -$20.25
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $607.15
- Potential profit
- $607.15
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $593.45
- Potential profit
- $593.45
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $560
- Potential profit
- $560
- User PnL
- -$40.88
Yes position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.38
- Potential profit
- $378.38
- User PnL
- -$36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6AM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $319.99
- Potential profit
- $319.99
- User PnL
- -$25.6
No position
Will Nasdaq (NDAQ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.31
- Potential profit
- $202.31
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.99
- Potential profit
- $179.99
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.5
- Potential profit
- $159.5
- User PnL
- -$16.3
No position
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.35
- Potential profit
- $154.35
- User PnL
- -$12.8
No position
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45K
Yes position
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.65
No position
Will DuPont de Nemours (DD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.56
No position
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.23
No position
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
No position
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.16
No position
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.7
No position
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7AM ET
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?Yes 1.6% 117.57 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?Yes 25% 8,398 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Yes 8.2% 6,105.51 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?Yes 2.7% 18,220 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Yes 7.2% 12,881.13 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 6.6% 607.15 shares
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 6.7% 593.45 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 8% 502.58 shares
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Yes 6.1% 2,147.66 shares
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 7% 1,415.21 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 6.9% 1,433.16 shares