Polymarket Trader

tbireland99

0x90c54d3c30be4d592d337bb6a237e278b9120fee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.6
Realized PnL: $15.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $20.68
Potential payout: $186.34
Potential profit: $165.65
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: $10.68

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $50.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $36.13
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $5.78
Potential payout: $36.12
Potential profit: $30.34
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$14.22

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27
Potential profit: $4.27
User PnL: -$2.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65
Potential profit: $2.65
User PnL: -$1.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.59
Potential profit: $2.59
User PnL: -$1.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54
Potential profit: $2.54
User PnL: -$1.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36
Potential profit: $1.36
User PnL: -$0.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $1.26
User PnL: -$0.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$0.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $1.15
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14
Potential profit: $1.14
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy make the cut at the 2026 Masters?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm make the cut at the 2026 Masters?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 5.4% 186.34 shares
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?

Yes 50% 20 shares
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 96% 1.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 87% 1.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Up 86% 1.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Up 97% 2.05 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Yes 7% 13.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Down 88% 1.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Down 84% 1.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Up 88% 1.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Up 90% 1.1 shares