Polymarket Trader

cockataile

0x90d2a9148aecee066cbd4d3b64fa0e326fe3a6b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.63K
Realized PnL: $6.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $7.99K
Potential payout: $9.81K
Potential profit: $1.82K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $3.09K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$11

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $55.28
Potential payout: $581.88
Potential profit: $526.6
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$54.72

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $304.47
Potential payout: $336.43
Potential profit: $31.96
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $57.56

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $59.68
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $101.61
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $9.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $106.12
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $6.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.43
Potential profit: $77.43
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $61.27
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $11.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.13
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$4.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $8.61
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$1.39

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $4.42
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $11.38
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.38

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $11.85
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $10.64
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $9.47
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $907

Yes position

Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784.81

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.91

Yes position

Yoon in jail before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $503.27

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.94

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.59

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.95

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.71

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.75

Yes position

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

No position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.43

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.58

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.33

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.91

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.87

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.41

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 83.1% 12.03 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 7% 84.63 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 89.9% 1.11 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Yes 94% 5.32 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 64.4% 31.07 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 56% 53.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 54% 18.52 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 72% 138.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 24% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 5.5% 3.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 30% 3.33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 72.9% 137.16 shares