Polymarket Trader

Morlune

0x90f88ac8d330029febfd46af34123625f12a93c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $211.65
Realized PnL: -$41.68
Win rate: 36.4%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58K
Potential profit: $6.58K
User PnL: -$32.99

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.07K
Potential profit: $5.07K
User PnL: -$29.99

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $941.06
Potential profit: $941.06
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.7
Potential profit: $806.7
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.43
Potential profit: $412.43
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.3%
Current value: $211.65
Potential payout: $339.72
Potential profit: $128.08
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $191.65

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.32
Potential profit: $324.32
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.67
Potential profit: $201.67
User PnL: -$13.71

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.23
Potential profit: $190.23
User PnL: -$16.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.97
Potential profit: $158.97
User PnL: -$34.47

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.59
Potential profit: $130.59
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.03
Potential profit: $125.03
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $120.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $116.67
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.54
Potential profit: $61.54
User PnL: -$8

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.65
Potential profit: $48.65
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.67
Potential profit: $31.67
User PnL: -$1.9

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "Stupid / Idiot" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump or Melania say "Hottest" at Chicago Opening Night?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $10.81
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during Saudi PM events on November 18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $50.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.07

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.33

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.71

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$36.97

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90.04

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$135.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

No 5.9% 339.72 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 8,731.48 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 5,351.55 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 14,083.03 shares
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Xtreme Gaming 32% 29.98 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Xtreme Gaming 10% 47.3 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Yes 17.4% 209.9 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Yes 6.8% 381.97 shares
Will Trump say "Stupid / Idiot" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?

Yes 4% 25 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 0.1% 95.23 shares
Will Trump or Melania say "Hottest" at Chicago Opening Night?

Yes 37% 10.81 shares