Polymarket Trader

massier

0x90fb234808675dd9dd1fc4da5f5bf2be646a4aa8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.15
Realized PnL: -$18.17
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala lead by 1.1-1.5 or more points on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Trump drop out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kamala lead by 2.1-2.5 or more points on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

No position

Trump in jail before election day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.48
Potential payout: $10.48
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $10.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.16
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Kamala Harris blowout victory?

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will there be another debate?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.06
Potential profit: $6.06
User PnL: -$2

No position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Elon x Kamala Harris interview in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Biden pardon Trump?

Yes 5.6% 17.86 shares
Will there be another debate?

Yes 33% 6.06 shares
Will Kamala lead by 1.1-1.5 or more points on September 20?

Yes 1.5% 33.33 shares
Will Kamala lead by 2.1-2.5 or more points on September 20?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?

No 98.3% 10.17 shares
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?

No 17% 11.76 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?

No 17% 11.76 shares
Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?

No 98.4% 10.16 shares
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?

No 97.4% 5.13 shares