No position
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.96
- Potential payout
- $15.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.96
Polymarket Trader
Tumtumtum
0x9100b701785e74bb7a0b8e03ba2625cba6eed483
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.65
- Realized PnL
- $11.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $12.22
- Potential payout
- $14.04
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $10.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $9.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $7.45
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $6.03
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.23
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $4.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66–67°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Chiefs position
Commanders vs. Chiefs
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will EA say "Player Engagement" during earnings call?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be less than 75k?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US strikes Yemen by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Israel withdraws from Syria before October?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Comey jailed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
DeepSeek acquired by US company before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Solana reach $210 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Simion position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?No 82% 2.44 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?No 71% 4.23 shares
- Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No 98% 5.09 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 86% 2.33 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 93% 9.68 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 94% 7.45 shares
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 6.52 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 4.05 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No 94% 6.38 shares
- Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 96% 5.21 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No 98.5% 4.06 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 95% 6.32 shares