Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $3.93K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $140.99
Polymarket Trader
Lepolo
0x912796652fc8df4d0964fcf677437057c55d6ff3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.4K
- Realized PnL
- $5.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$374.13
Yes position
New pandemic in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$135.75
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $514.25
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $35.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $79.42
No position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $493.73
- Potential payout
- $508.21
- Potential profit
- $14.48
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $30.27
No position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $423.35
- Potential payout
- $430.01
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.44
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.83
- Potential profit
- $405.83
- User PnL
- -$5.6
No position
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $93.83
- Potential payout
- $383
- Potential profit
- $289.17
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $36.38
No position
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $173.23
- Potential payout
- $364.69
- Potential profit
- $191.46
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$5.54
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.77
- Potential profit
- $333.77
- User PnL
- -$18.29
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $65.85
- Potential payout
- $321.23
- Potential profit
- $255.38
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $229.07
- Potential profit
- $227.58
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.4
- Potential profit
- $222.4
- User PnL
- -$30.87
No position
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $102.59
- Potential payout
- $189.99
- Potential profit
- $87.39
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $26.7
Yes position
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $167.47
- Potential profit
- $166.38
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.38
- Potential profit
- $164.38
- User PnL
- -$7.67
Yes position
French election called by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.01
- Potential profit
- $163.01
- User PnL
- -$53.16
No position
Will Scotland win?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $148
- User PnL
- -$34.04
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$84.2
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$43
No position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $109.18
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $102.59
- Potential profit
- $101.3
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.47
- Potential profit
- $101.47
- User PnL
- -$10.61
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $934.31
Yes position
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.62
Yes position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $347.84
Yes position
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.51
Yes position
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.95
No position
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $253.63
No position
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $250.55
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $249.05
Yes position
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.26
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $234.89
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.15
Yes position
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "N Word" in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.61
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.89
No position
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $125.78
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $119.58
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.87
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.57
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.4
Yes position
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.01
Yes position
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.2
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.86
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes 34% 45 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes 3.9% 45 shares
- Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes 12.4% 10 shares
- Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes 40% 10 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 15% 242 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 15% 141 shares
- Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 48% 36 shares
- Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 47% 28.7 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.1% 102.58 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 95.8% 235.1 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 95.7% 240.49 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 96.4% 194.21 shares