No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $204.94
- Potential payout
- $910.84
- Potential profit
- $705.9
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $23.08
Polymarket Trader
RealFan
0x9135c082d51d21deffc9f24b7f581d5031dead35
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $304.61
- Realized PnL
- -$288.51
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $272.17
- Potential profit
- $272.17
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $99.67
- Potential payout
- $197.36
- Potential profit
- $97.7
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $25.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.94
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.84
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$285.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 43.9% 77 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 24% 100 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 29% 33 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 24% 13.83 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 23% 8 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 58% 5 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 22% 15.87 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 20% 23.88 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 18% 0.31 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 18% 23 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 57% 15.37 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 22.7% 145.17 shares