Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$9
Polymarket Trader
0x9140...f62c
0x9140dfd91ef346cc9ec000500e5f6eaa8287f62c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $98.53
- Realized PnL
- $255.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $684.67
- Potential profit
- $681.93
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.53
Yes position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $536.87
- Potential profit
- $536.87
- User PnL
- -$20.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $426.55
- Potential profit
- $426.55
- User PnL
- -$7.79
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $409.58
- Potential profit
- $401.39
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $388.8
- Potential profit
- $383.36
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289.19
- Potential profit
- $289.19
- User PnL
- -$33.85
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $119.75
- Potential profit
- $111.2
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $24.37
- Potential payout
- $118.88
- Potential profit
- $94.51
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $14.86
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.88
- Potential profit
- $74.88
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Yes position
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $49.11
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $14.18
- Potential payout
- $55.62
- Potential profit
- $41.44
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$4.73
Michael Chandler position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.3
- Potential profit
- $53.3
- User PnL
- -$10.66
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.53
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.35
- Potential profit
- $46.35
- User PnL
- -$10.66
Nongshim Red Force position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.5
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.3
- Potential profit
- $34.3
- User PnL
- -$6.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $32.76
- Potential profit
- $22.28
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $12.2
- Potential payout
- $31.7
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.94
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.07
Cavaliers position
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.39
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.85
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
Suns position
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Yes position
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.68
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Marta Kostyuk position
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Timberwolves position
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
No position
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $6.65
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54
Frances Tiafoe position
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Mavericks position
Bulls vs. Mavericks
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 40% 7.9 shares
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 2.4% 409.58 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 32% 5 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 48% 10 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 33% 2.9 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?Yes 29% 32.76 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 34% 27.79 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 45% 22.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 34% 27.82 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 8% 118.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 30% 31.7 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 51% 18.61 shares