No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $417.66
- Potential payout
- $429.47
- Potential profit
- $11.81
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.66
Polymarket Trader
SpicyMoon
0x91442de98c296104207c51cc614a7e00a0f0a412
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $417.66
- Realized PnL
- $973
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.42
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.44
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.32
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.32
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.83
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.21
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.43
No position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.96
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.62
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$109.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 429.47 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?No 84.3% 407.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 72% 345.83 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.2% 288.78 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 69% 288.78 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionYes 75.5% 397.16 shares
- Russia announces air truce by August 31?No 82.3% 242.96 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No 66.3% 301.55 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No 92.7% 1,078.43 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No 82% 171.59 shares
- US-China trade deal before June?No 39.4% 357.14 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No 70.1% 283.82 shares