Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $275.38
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Polymarket Trader
sugr1
0x9174fd03f67614c0c8dd278afe725dfa1214d0bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $138.62
- Realized PnL
- $16.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $19.83
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $19.83
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $14.39
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $11.98
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $10.9
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $7.91
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $5.73
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $3.75
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 4.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.4% 280 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.2% 9.99 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 95.2% 5 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 94.1% 2.13 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No 97% 5 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.7% 12 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 90.1% 1.11 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 89% 1.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 1.69 shares